Just two weeks remain in the 2016 MLB season, and not many people could have predicted what we are seeing right now. The three teams that have a chance at winning it all this year are three teams that haven’t come close in years.
The last time any of the three teams remaining won a World Series title was in 1988 by the Los Angeles Dodgers. Then 40 years before that the Cleveland Indians won it all against the Boston Braves. And we all know about the Chicago Cubs. They have the longest drought of all, going on 108 years.
I think this one is going to Game 7. Thursday’s game was the last where the Dodgers will have home-field advantage in the series.
Kenta Maeda’s performance for the Dodgers thus far in the postseason can’t be called anything but below average. Through two starts he’s given up seven earned runs on nine hits in seven innings. He’s struck out six but walked five which has pushed him to a 2.0 walks plus hits per inning pitched. His final two starts in the regular season were poor as well.
Jon Lester on the other hand is a left-handed pitcher. Despite having a lefty-heavy lineup, the Dodgers were one of the worst offensive teams in the league against left-handers this season. I’ve got to give Lester the advantage on the mound.
Game 6 and 7 will be in Chicago, giving the Cubs the home-field advantage, but we are guaranteed to see Los Angeles’ Clayton Kershaw once more this series. The Dodgers will need to use Kershaw in Game 6 to avoid elimination and force a Game 7. Tied up at 3-3, the series could go to anyone. As a Dodger fan I have to go with Los Angeles, but the numbers continue to favor the Cubs.
WORLD SERIES PREDICTION
Each playoff team’s chances of winning the World Series are: Cleveland Indians, 42.6 percent; Chicago Cubs, 31.2 percent; and Los Angeles Dodgers, 26.2 percent, according to SportsLine as of Thursday morning.
On Wednesday the Cleveland Indians polished off the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 5, making them the first team to advance to the World Series. This is the reason SportsLine has them as the current favorites. But the Indians have been the underdog since we entered the postseason. They weren’t supposed to win the ALCS. Experts went for the Blue Jays, whom the numbers supported but Cleveland proved them wrong. Perhaps it’s the underdog mentality that will carry them to a win.
Once the NLCS is decided, that team will be the favorite to win it all with a 47.4 percent chance. It’s not a huge difference, but it’s significant enough. Defensively I’d have to give the Indians the advantage. On paper either NLCS team would seem to have the edge. While both teams had great regular seasons, in the postseason the mound has been owned by Cleveland. The Indians have gone 7-1 on their road to the World Series with their downright amazing pitching performances leading the way.
Turn to the other side and offensively it’s the two NLCS teams that should dominate. Unlike some teams, Los Angeles has been consistent in scoring runs this postseason and has yet to be shut out. It’s already shown it can perform at the plate against the Nationals and Cubs.
The reason Chicago was the favorite through the regular season and moving into the postseason is the fact that it has the most complete team in the MLB. If they don’t crack under the pressure there seriously is no stopping them. That is if they can get past the Dodgers first.
Prediction: Whoever wins the NLCS will win the World Series. I predict Cubs over Indians in five or Dodgers over Indians in six.